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The European Union is assessing a strategy to utilize billions in frozen Russian assets to bolster Ukraine’s defense and budget for 2026 and 2027, adhering to international regulations that prohibit the seizure of sovereign wealth.
In this plan, EU nations may tap into up to 165 billion euros from the 210 billion euros worth of Russian central bank assets currently frozen in Europe. Primarily, these assets are managed by Euroclear, the central securities depository based in Belgium. Following the maturation of Russian bonds at Euroclear, the resulting cash has been held in deposits at the European Central Bank due to imposed EU sanctions.
Rather than allowing these funds to remain unutilized, the EU intends to channel the cash into zero-coupon bonds issued by the European Commission. These bonds would not accrue interest for Russia, maintaining Moscow’s ownership while permitting the EU to provide a “Reparations Loan” to Ukraine. This loan would supply immediate funds to Ukraine, with repayment expected only after Russia compensates under a future peace settlement.
Worldwide, roughly 300 billion dollars of Russian sovereign assets are currently frozen, including 210 billion euros within Europe. Within this sum, about 176 billion euros in Euroclear have already converted to cash, with an additional nine billion euros maturing in 2026 and 2027. Other frozen assets in different EU nations, though generating interest back to Russia, may also be considered, complicating the project.
Prior to accessing these resources, the EU may need to address a portion of a 45 billion euro loan from the Group of Seven to Ukraine agreed upon last year. Thus, the effective availability for the Reparations Loan stands at an estimated 165 billion euros.
A key aspect of this initiative is that it refrains from confiscating Russian assets. While Russia retains legal ownership, EU institutions would substitute the cash with AAA-rated bonds from the European Commission on their financial statements, ensuring compliance with international law.
The financial exposure is a shared concern among EU countries. The significant risk arises if the EU must return funds to Russia without having received war reparations for Ukraine. Nonetheless, EU governments recently reached an agreement to maintain the assets' frozen status indefinitely, thereby decreasing the likelihood of unintended releases. The guarantees would only be enacted should governments somehow decide to unfreeze the funds prior to Ukraine receiving reparations.
This initiative underscores the EU’s commitment to supporting Ukraine’s defense and economic viability while respecting legal constraints regarding frozen foreign assets. It also showcases the innovative financial measures Europe is considering amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.