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Syrian government troops have intensified their control in northern and eastern Syria following the abrupt withdrawal of Kurdish-led forces from crucial territories, marking a pivotal shift in regional power dynamics. The withdrawal by the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) came after days of combat and a ceasefire deal, reinforcing President Ahmed al-Sharaa’s influence in the area.
The SDF, a principal ally of the U.S. in Syria, agreed to relinquish control of Raqqa and Deir al-Zor provinces under conditions dictating that Kurdish fighters must assimilate into Syria’s military as individuals instead of as collective groups. This agreement also necessitates the surrender of control over strategic facilities, border checkpoints, and prisons that had long been under SDF oversight.
Amid this withdrawal, tensions escalated as both factions exchanged accusations regarding ceasefire violations. Syrian officials indicated that several Islamic State prisoners had escaped from a facility in Shaddadi, a city that was formerly under the SDF’s command. The government blamed the SDF for enabling the escape, while the SDF claimed it lost control during a governmental assault. The Syrian army rejected these claims, stating it aims to recapture the escaped prisoners.
This realignment follows months of dialogues between Damascus and the SDF, facilitated by U.S. intermediaries. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan praised the agreement, while Kurdish leaders expressed concerns about specific stipulations, especially the assimilation requirement. Reports mentioned that a recent encounter between SDF commander Mazloum Abdi and President Sharaa was tense, with Abdi asking for more discussion time with his command team.
Reuters journalists noted the heightened presence of Syrian troops in Raqqa, previously captured from Islamic State in 2017 by the SDF, and at critical oil and gas facilities in Deir al-Zor. These regions hold significant economic and strategic value, making the control transfer a noteworthy alteration in Syria’s territorial landscape since Islamist factions ousted President Bashar al-Assad in 2024.
Despite the pullbacks, the SDF retains command over the majority of Hasakah province in the northeast, which includes the Kurdish-dominant city of Qamishli. The SDF media office claimed its forces have defended Shaddadi prison from persistent government assaults, suffering numerous casualties in the process. Meanwhile, the U.S.-led coalition against Islamic State reportedly did not engage despite requests for support from the SDF.
This evolving scenario highlights Syria's precarious security situation and the difficulties of uniting various armed factions under a single authority. As government forces channel control, international observers remain on edge, cautioning that renewed tensions could arise if the SDF and Damascus fail to adequately execute the terms of assimilation and ceasefire. The emphasis on key infrastructure, prisons, and energy resources underscores the strategic and political complexities of this ongoing conflict.